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Commodities 2012 - Part 1: The Direction of Energy, Precious Metals and Base Metals
Commodities 2012 - Part 1: The Direction of Energy, Precious Metals and Base Metals

Wed, 01/08/2012 - 10:05

Read about the latest developments in commodities and experts' price forecasts for the key Energy, Precious Metals and Base Metals sectors.

The 'Commodities 2012 - Part 1: The Direction of Energy, Precious Metals and Base Metals' special report comprises 10 separate articles listed below, these can be read individually or as a sequence.

Kirk Howell, Sungard

Increased correlations in the commodities space

Wed, 01/08/2012 - 10:11

Interview with Kirk Howell – One of the toughest challenges for hedge fund traders in today’s market environment is the high degree of correlation across asset classes. And it’s no different in commodities. »

Seth Kleinman, Head of Global Energy Strategy, Citi

Energy super-cycle begins to slow as US chokes on crude

Wed, 01/08/2012 - 10:21

By James Williams – Looking at the smaller picture, Brent Crude had a lot of macro risk priced in coming into 2012. Expectations of Middle East unrest – in particular Iran – and a liquidity event coming out of the US saw prices reach USD123/bbl in March. By May, however, some USD30 of gains had been pared back to USD89.61/bbl on 21 June. »


The commodity cooperation: Eurex Exchange and EEX

Wed, 01/08/2012 - 10:26

The leading international derivatives marketplace Eurex Exchange and the European Energy Exchange (EEX) have been successfully cooperating in trading of energy and related products since December 2007. Thanks to this cooperation, Eurex trading participants have access to products of the primary and secondary market that are listed at EEX. »

Peter Reitz, CEO, EEX

Significant potential for gas trading in Europe

Wed, 01/08/2012 - 10:34

Interview with Peter Reitz, CEO, EEX – How do you evaluate the energy exchange’s growth opportunities in the gas sector? »

Glen Chalkley, deputy head of business development, LME

London Metal Exchange introduces proximity hosting

Wed, 01/08/2012 - 10:38

This year saw the London Metal Exchange develop its proximity hosting service in a bid to increase trade volumes and revenues. What this allows is for LME members and clients to put their systems in a data centre close to the exchange’s matching engine, i.e. in proximity. »

Anne-Laure Tremblay, precious metals analyst, commodity derivatives, at BNP Paribas

Is the 10-year gold rally finally running out of steam?

Wed, 01/08/2012 - 10:42

By James Williams – “The big story for gold and silver is basically over. We think gold is nearing the end of its 10-year price rally. Our central scenario is that gold and silver will peak in H2’13, based on our assumption that there will be no further large-scale monetary accommodation, notably by the Federal Reserve, next year,” suggests Anne-Laure Tremblay (pictured), precious metals analyst, commodity derivatives, at BNP Paribas. »

Knut Andersen, Sales Director, SMA

Rare strategic metals: a portfolio diversifier

Wed, 01/08/2012 - 10:45

Interview with Knut Andersen – Swiss Metal Assets (SMA) is the only company providing a turnkey solution in the acquisition and storage of rare strategic and precious metals in the Americas. The firm is based in Panama with representatives in the USA, UK and Italy. Its trading partners are Schweizerische Metallhandel AG and Haines & Maassen, both based in Germany. »

Nizam Hamid, Head of ETF strategy at Lyxor

Next-generation approach to managing roll costs

Wed, 01/08/2012 - 10:49

Interview with Nizam Hamid – According to Nizam Hamid, Head of ETF strategy at Lyxor in London, investors taking exposure in the commodities space are looking to move away from first-generation indices, which take a more simplistic approach to managing roll costs, and looking for more sophisticated, next-generation solutions. »

Daniel Brebner, Head of Metals Research, Deutsche Bank

Copper and aluminium prices depend on 2H12 China consumption

Wed, 01/08/2012 - 10:53

By James Williams – Within the S&P GSCI Enhanced Commodity Index, industrial metals returned -4.7 per cent through early June 2012. »

Christian O’Neill, energy analyst with Bloomberg Industries

Investors should consider defensive position in energy sector

Wed, 01/08/2012 - 10:56

Interview with Christian O’Neill – Having fallen sharply earlier in the year, Brent Crude has staged a recovery in recent weeks, rising from 89.61 on 21 June to 106.8 as of 20 July. In terms of spare capacity, the cushion is thin. With the threat of Iran closing the Straits of Hormuz, and the possibility that the US could engage a third round of quantitative easing, there are clear macro risks to cause supply outages and support further upward price pressure. »


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