Alberto Gallo, head of macro strategies at multi-strategy credit and equities hedge fund Algebris Investments, has compared investors in government bonds to “boiling frogs” who risk seeing their returns “wiped out” from future inflation rises.

BlueBay Asset Management, the London-based fixed income and emerging markets manager, is warning the recent uptick in economic activity could give way to “a more difficult backdrop” in August, as the future direction of the global economy continues to hinge heavily on developments surrounding a potential coronavirus vaccine.

Savvas Savouri, chief economist and partner at long-running UK hedge fund manager Toscafund, says UK chancellor Rishi Sunak’s economic update has “supercharged” his confidence.

Brummer & Partners, a long-running Swedish multi-strategy hedge fund firm, saw its flagship Brummer Multi-Strategy vehicle up marginally in April, as solid gains across its long/short credit, systematic equity, relative value and macro strategies were offset by sharp losses in tech-focused long/short equity trades.

Macro hedge fund, Reminiscent Capital (Reminiscent), has launched a Cayman Fund to enable broader access to its Asia Macro Master Strategy (Strategy). 

A major new standalone operation in the quant-driven, discretionary global macro space has gone live with the spin-out this month of Maniyar Capital Advisors (MCA) from Tudor Investment Corporation.

Many discretionary macro managers are successfully capitalising on the continuing global economic upheaval, with solid first quarter gains that may hint at a reversal of fortunes for a strategy beleaguered by assorted challenges and high-profile closures in recent years. 

A stronger revalued yuan is vital to any post-coronavirus global economic recovery, with reinvigorated Chinese financial firepower helping to swerve a deep recession in the next year, according to Toscafund Asset Management’s Savvas Savouri.

Last year provided some optimism for global macro hedge funds, ending the year up 6.50 per cent according to eVestment’s aggregated hedge fund performance data. And there are signs that 2020 could offer good opportunities to make upside, as macro traders position themselves for higher inflation in Europe and investor rotation out of US equities.

Risk assets were under pressure during the second half of June as trade war concerns escalated. The MSCI World was down 3 per cent in USD terms during the second half of June, since Trump approved tariffs on Chinese imports.