Global Outlook 2024 Report


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AII Barometer: Event driven knocked out with few heavyweight funds

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The Lyxor Hedge Fund Index was down -2.7% in August. One out of 12 Lyxor Indices ended the month in positive territory. The Lyxor Convertible Arbitrage Index (+3.3%), the Lyxor L/S Equity Variable Bias Index (-0.7%), and the Lyxor L/S Equity Market Neutral Index (-1.1%) were the best performers.

The deflation and growth scares, which built up over the summer, accelerated following the CNY devaluation. They morphed into a vicious cycle in the last week of August. With volatility reaching 55 and equities plunging by the hour, Monday 24 will from now on count among the major stress episodes used as reference. The bulk of the Lyxor Hedge Fund index was endured during that week. Event Driven funds were the main losers. Return dispersion was elevated. Losses in some heavy-weight funds hid decent performances among macro traders (CTAs and Global Macro). A milder pressure on credit and govies supported credit and fixed income arbitrage strategies. The L/S Equity space proved resilient apart from Asian and US long bias managers.

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