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Hedge funds make cautious return to US equities

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Hedge funds bought US equities for only the third time this year last week, marking a cautious shift in positioning amid sustained bullishness from retail investors, according to a report by Investing.com citing data from Bank of America Securities.

The inflow from hedge funds came as US equity markets dipped slightly, with the S&P 500 posting a 0.5% decline.

Despite the modest rally in hedge fund flows, the year-to-date net selling by hedge funds remains the largest since 2008, underscoring broader risk aversion among active managers. This divergence stands in stark contrast to persistent retail enthusiasm – private clients have now logged 22 consecutive weeks of equity inflows, the longest buying streak since BofA began tracking the data post-financial crisis.

The move back into equities by hedge funds suggests a tactical re-engagement rather than a structural shift, with managers likely attempting to balance exposure ahead of key macro catalysts. CFTC data shows net short positioning remains elevated, indicating a “pain trade” could emerge if the current market rally holds and short sellers are forced to cover.

While hedge funds remain largely on the sidelines, their re-entry into selective sectors and single-name equities last week signals growing sensitivity to relative valuation and positioning dislocations—particularly in areas like consumer discretionary, tech, and financials, which saw notable inflows.

Retail investors, meanwhile, continue to aggressively rotate capital into both single stocks and ETFs across all market cap buckets, with Bank of America reporting $3.2bn in net equity inflows from its client base last week. The data places last week’s activity as the eighth-highest on record, reinforcing the role of retail in driving equity momentum through 2025.

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